Alright, first precursor to the Oscars!

Quick Predictions for the Nominations:

Casting:
Nina Gold – Hamnet (Focus Features)
Jennifer Venditti – Marty Supreme (A24)
Cassandra Kulukundis – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
Francine Maisler – Sinners (Warner Bros.)
Kei Kawamura, Yumi Takada – Rental Family (Searchlight Pictures)
Tiffany Little Canfield, Bernard Telsey – Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)

Cinematography:
Claudio Miranda – F1 (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
Michael Bauman – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
Autumn Durald Arkapaw – Sinners (Warner Bros.)
Łukasz Żal – Hamnet (Focus Features)
Dan Laustsen – Frankenstein (Netflix)
Steven Breckon – The Plague (IFC)

Production Design:
Hannah Beachler, Monique Champagne – Sinners (Warner Bros.)
Nathan Crowley, Lee Sandales – Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)
Jack Fisk, Adam Willis – Marty Supreme (A24)
Kasra Farahani, Jille Azis – The Fantastic Four: First Steps (Marvel Studios)
Jeremy Hindle, David Schlesinger – A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
Ben Munro, Mark Tildesley, Reynan Castro Del Rosario, Andrew McCarthy, Véronique Melery – F1 (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)

Editing:
Kirk Baxter – A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
Stephen Mirrione – F1 (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
Michael P. Shawver – Sinners (Warner Bros.)
Andy Jurgensen – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
Chloé Zhao, Affonso Gonçalves – Hamnet (Focus Features)
Bob Ducsay – Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)

Costume Design:
Kate Hawley – Frankenstein (Netflix)
Malgosia Turzanska – Hamnet (Focus Features)
Colleen Atwood – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
Ruth E. Carter – Sinners (Warner Bros.)
Małgorzata Karpiuk – The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight Pictures)
Paul Tazewell – Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)

Hair and Makeup:
28 Years Later (Sony Pictures)
Frankenstein (Netflix)
Sinners (Warner Bros.)
The Smashing Machine (A24)
Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)
Superman (Warner Bros.)

Visual Effects:
F1 (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
The Fantastic Four: First Steps (Marvel Studios)
Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (Paramount Pictures)
Superman (Warner Bros.)
Tron: Ares (Walt Disney Pictures)
Mickey 17 (Warner Bros.)

Stunt Design:
Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (Paramount Pictures)
One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
The Smashing Machine (A24)
Warfare (A24)
Superman (Warner Bros.)
Ballerina (Lionsgate)

Song:
“Dear Me” – Diane Warren – Diane Warren: Relentless (Greenwich Entertainment)
“The Girl in the Bubble” – Stephen Schwartz – Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)
“Golden” – Ejae, Mark Sonnenblick, Ido, 24, Teddy – KPop Demon Hunters (Netflix)
“I Lied to You” – Raphael Saadiq, Ludwig Göransson – Sinners (Warner Bros.)
“Lose My Mind” – Don Toliver, Doja Cat, Hans Zimmer, Ryan Tedder, Grant Boutin – F1 (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
“No Place Like Home” – Stephen Schwartz – Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)
“Clothed by the Sun” – Daniel Blumberg – The Testament of Ann Lee

Score:
Hans Zimmer – F1 (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
Jonny Greenwood – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
Ludwig Göransson – Sinners (Warner Bros.)
Nine Inch Nails – Tron: Ares (Walt Disney Pictures)
Max Richter – Hamnet (Focus Features)
Alexandre Desplat – Frankenstein (Netflix)`

Sound:
F1 (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
Frankenstein (Netflix)
Hamnet (Focus Features)
Sinners (Warner Bros.)
Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures)
Warfare (A24)

I am so surprised with how well No Other Choice did, I believe it is a serious contender for BP. Also worth pointing out how Frankenstein and Wicked did very well despite somehow lukewarm reviews.

Neon scoring two entries with Sirat and Secret Agent (that just got to their plataform last week) and one with It Was Just An Accident and Sentimental Value (a movie with massive campaign) chocked be a bit. Worth saying that even though a Sirat is not my favorite movie of the year the sound and soundtrack nominations are so deserved.

I expected Sentimental Value to get casting and editing nominations. Surprise they were left out. Hope that means something for Neon and they start giving more investment to their other contenders. No Other Choice and Secret Agent are incredible.

It’s worth mentioning that two years ago Anatomy of a Fall received Critics Choice noms only for Best Actress, Young Actor and Foreign Film; if CC had had shortlists back then I’ll bet Anatomy would’ve also missed editing and casting there, just like Sentimental Value, yet it went on to get into editing at the Oscars and casting at the BAFTAs. Meanwhile The Zone of Interest only received a Foreign Film nom, as did I’m Still Here the following year. CC is slow on the uptake with foreign language contenders.

Anybody expecting a surprise acting performance to start gaining traction after showing up at Critics and Globes?

melodramatico wrote:

BurgerFriesSoda wrote:

Anybody expecting a surprise acting performance to start gaining traction after showing up at Critics and Globes?

I expect Lee Byung-hun getting a Globes nomination for No Other Choice (and after pre-list maybe even CCA) and I would also love to see nominations for It Was Just An Accident and Secret Agent, like Mariam Afshari for drama and Alice Carvalho or Tania Maria in supporting for example.

Joel Edgerton and Felicity Jones getting CCA nominations is a real possibility in my view and that could really help them.

Add to the foreign bunch Sirât’s Sergi López. He has just been nominated for the European Film Awards (the movie is up to the top 4 categories)

MovieMania wrote:

BurgerFriesSoda wrote:

Anybody expecting a surprise acting performance to start gaining traction after showing up at Critics and Globes?

Wagner Moura

At this point, he’s so widely predicted that I think the surprise would be if he missed.

melodramatico wrote:

Guys, and what about Avatar, what happened? Didn’t Disney submitted the movie, the lack of appearences just feels very odd.

My guess is they simply weren’t given access to see it in advance of its release. It’s kinda similar to what happened with Star Wars: The Force Awakens 10 years ago when they weren’t able to see it in time for nominations, before they belatedly added it to their Best Picture lineup (but no other categories) in a cynical attempt to gain higher ratings. I hope they don’t pull that shit this year.