Polymarket

NEW POLYMARKET: Polymarket traders are increasingly skeptical that Netflix will close its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by the end of 2026. The market opened much higher before rapidly unwinding as traders reassessed regulatory hurdles, strategic fit, and deal-making incentives in the current media landscape. 👉 Are markets right to price this in as a long shot?

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JUST IN: Polymarket traders are weighing in on which mega-cap tech name is most likely to break to new highs before December 31, and one company stands far ahead of the pack. Current odds: - Tesla: 44% - Amazon: 17% - Nvidia: 14% - Microsoft: 8% - Meta: 2% With over $147K traded, sentiment is consolidating around Tesla as the only serious contender for a fresh breakout before year-end. Will momentum hold, or is another Mag 7 name about to surprise?

Against all odds. Polymarket’s U.S. app is now being rolled out to those on the waitlist. We’re launching with sports, followed by markets on everything. Download today to check your spot on the waitlist 👉 https://lnkd.in/e-vKgg43

NEW POLYMARKET: Polymarket traders see low odds that Pete Hegseth will be out as Secretary of Defense by March 31, 2026. Current probability: 18% After an early spike, the market has steadily drifted downward, with traders pricing in a strong likelihood that Hegseth remains in his role through Q1. With volume still light ($9K), sentiment is cautious but firmly leaning toward the status quo. Will anything shift the outlook, or is the market already settled on stability at the Pentagon?

JUST IN: Polymarket traders remain overwhelmingly confident that gold will finish 2025 above $3,200, now priced at 97.5%. All other ranges from $3,100 to below $2,500, are each sitting under 1%, showing virtually no trader support for a lower year-end close. With nearly $4M in volume, the market is signaling a clear consensus: Gold strength looks firmly priced in heading into 2026. 👉 Are markets underestimating the risk of a reversal or is this trend unstoppable?

LATEST UPDATE: Polymarket traders continue to price in a strong likelihood of a 25 bps rate cut at the December meeting. Current probabilities: * 25 bps decrease: 86%  * No change: 13%  * 50+ bps decrease: ~1% * 25+ bps increase: <1% With $164M+ in trading volume, markets are signaling that a December cut is now the overwhelmingly expected outcome, especially following recent data and Fed communication. 👉 Will the Fed follow through, or are markets overconfident?

BREAKING: Polymarket traders are weighing in on whether Donald Trump will release the Epstein files before year-end. Current odds: * By November 30: 6%  * By December 31: 73% With $1.6M+ traded, the market continues to move as speculation grows around timing, transparency, and political pressure. 👉 What’s your read, unlikely hype, or an end-of-year reveal?

JUST IN: Polymarket traders are divided as the race for TIME 2025 Person of the Year heats up. Current odds: * Artificial Intelligence: 32% * Jensen Huang: 29% * Pope Leo XIV: 15% * Donald Trump: 7% AI still holds the lead, but momentum has shifted, and Jensen Huang has surged in recent days, closing the gap and signaling a two-way race heading into year-end. With $6.7M+ traded, this is one of the platform’s most actively debated cultural and geopolitical markets. 👉 Who do you think will define 2025?

BREAKING: Polymarket traders are pricing in steep odds against Bitcoin clearing higher thresholds by November 22. Current probabilities:
 • 86,000: 25% • 88,000: 9% • 90,000: 4% • 92,000: 2% With less than two days left, the market is signaling a tight ceiling and fading confidence in a breakout before the deadline. 👉 Will BTC surprise traders, or are we locked in below these levels?