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Best Picture
One Battle After Another
95.8%
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
95.6%
Best Actress
Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
96.0%
Best Actor
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
93.6%
Best Supporting Actress
Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)
88.8%
Best Supporting Actor
Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value)
94.1%
Best Adapted Screenplay
One Battle After Another
95.2%
Best Original Screenplay
Sinners
96.5%
Best Casting
One Battle After Another
95.4%
Best Cinematography
Sinners
93.8%
Best Costume Design
Frankenstein
95.8%
Best Film Editing
One Battle After Another
95.1%
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Frankenstein
95.8%
Best Production Design
Frankenstein
95.6%
Best Score
Sinners
95.2%
Best Sound
Sinners
94.5%
Best Visual Effects
Avatar: Fire and Ash
94.4%
Best Animated Feature
KPop Demon Hunters
96.4%
Best International Film
Sentimental Value
96.5%
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Oscars

Emma Stone could break this weird, long-standing Oscar record with ‘Bugonia’

The two-time Best Actress winner could be one of the few people nominated for doing this.
Emma Stone in 'Bugonia'
Emma Stone in Bugonia
Focus Features/Courtesy Everett Collection
Warning: This article contains spoilers for the Bugonia.

With two Best Actress trophies on her shelf, Emma Stone is certainly an Oscar favorite, and she looks primed to score yet another nomination this year for Bugonia. If she does, it would truly be an out-of-this-world Oscar bid.

In her latest collaboration with Yorgos Lanthimos, Stone plays Michelle Fuller, a pharmaceutical CEO who is kidnapped by an unstable conspiracy theorist, Teddy Gatz (Jesse Plemons), who believes she's an extraterrestrial disguised as a human. Turns out Teddy was right all along, as Michelle returns to her mothership after three days in captivity. Should Stone receive a Best Actress nomination, she'd be the first performer in 41 years to compete at the Oscars for playing an alien.

The first — and so far, only — actor to land an Oscar bid for playing a visitor from another planet was Jeff Bridges in 1984's Starman. Like Stone, Bridges had established himself as a perennial Academy favorite, with Best Supporting Actor noms for 1971's The Last Picture Show and 1974's Thunderbolt and Lightfoot under his belt. So while an acting nomination for a John Carpenter movie feels out of left field, it wasn't for a guy like Bridges, who eventually won the Best Actor prize for 2009's Crazy Heart.

What makes a Stone nomination feel unique is its singularity. To be fair, there have been a number of Oscar-nominated humans traveling through outer space: Alec Guinness as Obi-Wan Kenobi in Star Wars (although there is a healthy online debate about whether the human-like denizens of Star Wars should be considered homo sapiens or an alien race biologically and anatomically indistinguishable from earthlings), Sigourney Weaver as Ripley in Aliens, Matt Damon as Mark Watney in The Martian. There have also been actors who scored bids (Melinda Dillon in Close Encounters of the Third Kind) and even wins (Don Ameche in Cocoon) for films about alien visitors. Yet, when it comes to actors playing aliens in human form, Bridges is the only one.

Part of this has to do with voters' aversion to motion-capture performances (see: Zoe Saldaña in Avatar and Andy Serkis in anything), as well as a general unwillingness to recognize blockbusters outside of the tech categories (Men in Black might have won Best Makeup, but Vincent D'Onofrio was nowhere close to a Best Supporting Actor nomination). There's also the fact that many movie aliens are created through CGI and animatronics, which obviously disqualifies the likes of E.T. from the acting categories.

All of that might not matter for Stone. According to the latest Gold Derby prediction data, she is tracking to score a Best Actress nomination alongside Jessie Buckley (Hamnet), Renata Reinsve (Sentimental Value), Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good), and Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You). Stone has already won that award twice — first for La La Land and again for Lanthimos's Poor Things — and has competed in the supporting actress race for Birdman and The Favourite, the latter also directed by Lanthimos (notice a pattern?). She also has a Best Picture bid under her belt for being a producer on Poor Things, a category she could contend in once again should Bugonia crack the top 10, as it's currently predicted to.

Best Actress

Contender
Odds
1.
Jessie Buckley
Jessie Buckley
Hamnet
96.0%
2.
Renate Reinsve
Renate Reinsve
Sentimental Value
92.4%
3.
Rose Byrne
Rose Byrne
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
67.9%
4.
Emma Stone
Emma Stone
Bugonia
61.9%
5.
Amanda Seyfried
Amanda Seyfried
The Testament of Ann Lee
56.9%

Her nominations milestones aside, what works best in Stone's favor is the decision to keep her character's true identity a secret until the end. Throughout the film, viewers are led to believe that this is all just a figment of Teddy's imagination, and Michelle must convince him otherwise to free herself. It's only in the final moments you realize her denials are actually lies, making Stone's performance more interesting to revisit.

For now, we'll have to wait until Oscar nomination day on Jan. 22 to see if Stone will be beaming up another Academy Award bid.

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